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US pollster Frank Luntz is best known in the UK for his appearances on Newsnight. He picked out David Cameron from the line-up of potential Tory leaders, at a time when David Davis looked a much surer bet. (His poll revealing the surprising popularity of John Reid as a replacement for Blair was also surprising, though this was just after a major terrorist incident and before the current Home Office problems.) I note that back on his home turf, he predicts continued bad news for the Republican Party.

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